Predikce příjmů obecních rozpočtů

The subject of this bachelor's thesis is a prediction of revenues of municipal budgets. I examined this issue on the budget of a particular municipality, which is the town of Tábor. The focus of my thesis is to determine the way in which Tábor predicts its revenues and whether the use of other statistical method could make the calculation more accurate. The result of the analysis performed was that Tábor shows fairly accurate predictions. But still, the town should change the method of predicting the personal income tax from self-employment; best method is the method of exponential smoothing. Most suitable method for prediction of the personal income tax from capital revenues is the method of transformation moving average. Therefore, the conclusion is that one method cannot be used for all kinds of revenues.