Prague Economic Papers 2011, 20(1):59-70 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.387

Political Business Cycle in Czech Municipalities

Lucie Sedmihradská, Rudolf Kubík, Jakub Haas
University of Economics, Prague (sedmih@vse.cz; rudolf.kubik@vse.cz; haasj@post.cz).

The paper examines the political business cycle at the municipal level in the Czech Republic using data for 205 municipalities in the period 2001-2007. We introduce empirical models based on fixed-effects panel data regression testing the capital and current expenditure manipulation prior to elections. The results indicate significant increase in capital expenditures and significant decrease in current expenditures prior to elections. At the same time the manipulation with capital expenditures does not increase the probability of re-election for the incumbents in the Czech municipalities.

Keywords: local government, political business cycle, elections, Czech municipalities, panel data regressions
JEL classification: D72, D78, H72

Published: January 1, 2011  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Sedmihradská, L., Kubík, R., & Haas, J. (2011). Political Business Cycle in Czech Municipalities. Prague Economic Papers20(1), 59-70. doi: 10.18267/j.pep.387
Download citation

References

  1. Arellano, M. (2003), Panel Data Econometrics. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Go to original source...
  2. Akhmedov, A., Zhuravskaya, E. (2004), "Opportunistic Political Cycles: Test in a Young Democracy Setting." Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 119, pp. 1301-38. Go to original source...
  3. Balík, S. (2008), Česká komunální politika v obcích s rozšířenou působností: koalice, voličské vzorce a politické strany na místní úrovni v letech 1994-2006 (Czech Communal Politics in Municipalities of Extended Scope: Coalitions, Voter Patterns and Political Parties at the Local Level in the Years 1994-2006, text in Czech). Brno: Centrum pro studium demokracie a kultury.
  4. Cerda R., Vergara R. (2007), "Business Cycle and Political Election Outcomes: Evidence from the Chilean Democracy." Public Choice, Vol. 132, pp. 125-36. Go to original source...
  5. Drazen A., Eslava M. (2005), "Electoral Manipulation via Voter-Friendly Spending: Theory and Evidence." NBER Working Paper, 11085. Go to original source...
  6. Hemmings, P. (2006), "Improving Public-Spending Efficiency in Czech Regions and Municipalities." Economic Department Working Papers, No. 499. Paris: OECD.
  7. Judson, R., Owen, A. (1996), "Estimating Dynamic Panel Data Models: A Guide for Macroeconomists." Economic Letters, Vol. 65, pp. 9-15. Go to original source...
  8. Nordhaus, W. D. (1975), "The Political Business Cycle." Review of Economic Studies, No. 2, pp. 169-190. Go to original source...
  9. Nordhaus, W. D. (1989), "Alternative Approaches to the Political Business Cycle." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 1989, No. 2, pp. 1-68. Go to original source...
  10. Oates, W. E. (1991), "Fiskální federalismus: Přehled teoretického výzkumu a praktických výsledků" (Fiscal Federalism: Review of Theoretical Research and Practical Results, text in Czech). Finance a úvěr, Vol. 41, No. 6, pp. 261-77.
  11. Rogoff, K., Sibert, A. (1988), "Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles." Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 55, No. 1, pp. 1-16. Go to original source...
  12. Rogoff, K. (1990), "Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles." The American Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 1, pp. 21-36.
  13. Rosenberg J. (1992), "Rationality and the Political Business Cycle: The Case of Local Government." Public Choice, Vol. 73, pp. 71-81. Go to original source...
  14. Sakurai S., Menezes-Filho N. (2008), "Fiscal Policy and Reelection in Brazilian Municipalities." Public Choice, Vol. 137, pp. 301-14. Go to original source...
  15. Štětka, J. (2010), "Starostové, prachy, kmotři" (Mayors, Money, Godfathers, text in Czech). Ekonom, No. 41, pp. 12-15.
  16. Štiková R. (2008), "Models of Political Cycles: The Czech Experience." Prague Economic Papers, Vol. 15, No. 3, pp. 213-29. Go to original source...
  17. Veiga, L. G. a Veiga, F. J. (2007), "Political Business Cycles at the Municipal Level." Public Choice, Vol. 131, pp. 45-64. Go to original source...
  18. Veiga, L. G. a Veiga, F. J (2007b), "Does Opportunism Pay off?" Economic letters, Vol. 96, No. 2, pp. 177-82. Go to original source...
  19. Žák, M. (1998), "Politicko-ekonomický cyklus." (Political Business Cycle, text in Czech) Politická ekonomie, 1998, Vol. 4, pp. 471-80. Go to original source...

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.