Prague Economic Papers 2012, 21(2):205-219 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.419

Market Timing and Selectivity Performance: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Malaysian Unit Trust Funds

Soo-Wah Low
Graduate School of Business (UKM-GSB), Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (National University of Malaysia), 43600 UKM Bangi Selangor, Malaysia. (swlow@ukm.my).

This study examines the extent to which fund characteristics contributes to explaining fund returns differentiated by managers' stock picking and market timing abilities. The findings show that funds characterized by high exposures to broad market movements have good timing returns but show poor selectivity performance, suggesting the presence of activity specialization among fund managers. It is shown that large funds enhance managers' timing returns, reflecting the efficiencies of large funds in responding to market-wide movements. However, as the size of the fund gets larger, managers find it more challenging to identify worthwhile investments and hence results in poor selectivity performance.

Keywords: unit trust fund, market timing, security selection, fund characteristics, fund performance
JEL classification: G11, G29

Published: January 1, 2012  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Low, S. (2012). Market Timing and Selectivity Performance: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Malaysian Unit Trust Funds. Prague Economic Papers21(2), 205-219. doi: 10.18267/j.pep.419
Download citation

References

  1. Abdel-Kader, M., Kuang, Y. (2007), "Risk-Adjusted Performance, Selectivity, Timing Ability and Performance Persistence of Hong Kong Mutual Funds." Journal of Asia-Pacific Business, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp. 25-58. Go to original source...
  2. Bialkowski, J., Otten, R. (2011), "Emerging Market Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence for Poland." North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 22, No. 2, pp. 118-130. Go to original source...
  3. Carhart, M. (1997), "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance." Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, No. 1, pp. 57-82. Go to original source...
  4. Chang, E. C., Lewellen, W. G. (1984), "Market Timing and Mutual Fund Investment Performance." Journal of Business, Vol. 57, No. 1, pp. 57-72. Go to original source...
  5. Chen, C. R., Lee, C. F., Rahman, S., Chan, A. (1992), "A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Mutual Funds' Market Timing and Security Selection Skill." Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Vol. 19, No. 5, pp.659-675. Go to original source...
  6. Choong, D. (2005), Investor's Guide to Malaysian Unit Trust. 3rd Edition, Sage Publishing.
  7. Ciccotello, C. S., Grant, C. T. (2001), "Equity Fund Size and Growth: Implications for Performance and Selection." Financial Services Review, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 1-12. Go to original source...
  8. Dahlquist, M., Engstrom, S., Soderlind, P. (2000), "Performance and Characteristics of Swedish Mutual Funds." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 35, No. 3, pp. 409-423. Go to original source...
  9. Droms, W. G., Walker, D. A. (1996), "Mutual Fund Investment Performance." Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 36, No. 3, pp. 347-363. Go to original source...
  10. Elton, G., Das, S., Hlavka, M. (1993), "Efficiency with Costly Information: A Reinterpretation of Evidence from Managed Portfolio." Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 6, pp.1-22. Go to original source...
  11. Fama, E. F. (1972), "Components of Investment Performance." Journal of Finance, Vol. 27, pp.551- 567. Go to original source...
  12. Federation of Investments Managers Malaysia, available at http://www.fimm.com.my.
  13. Ferreira, M. A., Miguel, A. F., Ramos, S. (2006), "The Determinants of Mutual Fund Performance: A Cross-Country Study." Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series N06-30.
  14. Fortin, R., Michelson, S. (2005), "Active International Mutual Fund Management: Can Managers Beat the Index?" Managerial Finance, Vol. 31, No. 1, pp. 41-51. Go to original source...
  15. Gallagher. D., Martin, K. (2005), "Size and Investment Performance: A Research Note." Abacus, Vol. 41, No. 1, pp. 55-65. Go to original source...
  16. Golec, J. H. (1996), "The Effects of Mutual Fund Managers' Characteristics on their Portfolio Performance, Risk, and Fees." Financial Services Review, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 133-148. Go to original source...
  17. Grinblatt, M., Titman, S. (1994), "A Study of Monthly Mutual Fund Returns and Portfolio Performance Evaluation Techniques." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 29, No. 3, pp. 419-444. Go to original source...
  18. Henriksson, R. D. (1984), "Market Timing and Mutual Fund Performance: An Empirical Investigation." Journal of Business, Vol. 57, No. 1, pp. 73-96. Go to original source...
  19. Henriksson, R. D., Merton, R. C. (1981), "On Market Timing and Investment performance. II. Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills." Journal of Business, Vol. 54, No. 4, pp. 513-533. Go to original source...
  20. Gujarati, D. N. (1995), Basic Econometrics. 3rd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
  21. Indro, D. C., Jiang, C. X., Hu, M. Y., Lee, W. Y. (1999), "Mutual Fund Performance: Does Fund Size Matter?" Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 55, No. 3, pp.74-87. Go to original source...
  22. Ippolito, R. A. (1989), "Efficiency with Costly Information: A Study of Mutual Fund Performance 1965-1984." Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 104, No. 1, pp. 1-23. Go to original source...
  23. Jensen, M. C. (1968), "The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-1964." Journal of Finance, Vol. 23, No. 2, pp. 389-416. Go to original source...
  24. Kao, G. W., Cheng, L. T. W., Chan, K. C. (1998), "International Mutual Fund Selectivity and Market Town Market Conditions." Financial Review, Vol. 33, pp. 127-144. Go to original source...
  25. Kon, S. J., Jen, F. C. (1979), "The Investment Performance of Mutual Funds: An Empirical Investigation of Timing, Selectivity, and Market Efficiency." Journal of Business, Vol. 52, No. 2, pp. 263-289. Go to original source...
  26. Lee, C. F., Rahman, S. (1990), "Market Timing, Selectivity, and Mutual Fund Performance: An Empirical Investigation." Journal of Business, Vol. 63, No. 2, pp. 261-278. Go to original source...
  27. Low, S-W., Ghazali, N. A. (2005), "An Evaluation of the Market-Timing and Security- Selection Performance of Mutual Funds: The Case of Malaysia." International Journal of Management Studies, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 97-115.
  28. Low, S-W. (2007), "Malaysian Mutual Fund Performance during up and down Market Conditions: A Comparison of Market Benchmark." Managerial Finance, Vol. 33, pp. 154-166. Go to original source...
  29. Low, S-W. (2010), "Relationship between Fund Performance and Characteristics of the Malaysia Unit Trust Fund." Singapore Management Review, Vol. 32, No. 1, pp. 29-43.
  30. Malkiel, B. G. (1995), "Returns from Investing in Equity Mutual Funds 1971-1991." Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 2, pp. 549-572. Go to original source...
  31. Nassir, A. M., Mohamed, S., Ngu, M. H. (1997), "Selectivity and Timing: Evidence from the Performance of Malaysian Unit Trusts." Pertanika Journal of Social Science & Humanities, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 45-57.
  32. Newey, W. K., West, K. (1987), "A Simple Positive-Definite Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix." Econometrica, Vol. 55, No. 3, pp. 703-708. Go to original source...
  33. Otten, R., Bams, D. (2002), "European Mutual Fund Performance." European Financial Management, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 75-101. Go to original source...
  34. Rao, S. P. U. (2000), "Market Timing and Mutual Fund Performance." American Business Review, Vol. 18, pp.75-79.
  35. Rozali, M. B., Abdullah, F. (2006), "Market Timing and Security Selection Performance of Mutual Funds: Evidence from Malaysia." Faculty of Finance and Banking, Universiti Utara Malaysia. Available at http://bai2006.atisr.org/CD/Papers/2006bai6120.doc.
  36. Stotz, O. (2007), "Selection, Market Timing and Style Timing of Equity Mutual Funds - Evidence from Germany." Zeitschrift Fur Betriebswirtschaft, Vol. 77, No. 1, pp. 51-73. Go to original source...
  37. Wermers, R. (2000), "Mutual Fund Performance: an Empirical Decomposition into Stock-Picking Talent, Style, Transaction Costs and Expenses." Journal of Finance, Vol. 55, No. 4, pp. 1655-1695. Go to original source...
  38. White, H. (1980), "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity." Econometrica, Vol. 48, pp.817-833. Go to original source...

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.