Prague Economic Papers 2013, 22(3):324-342 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.455

Returns and Persistence of Investment Fund Performance in the Czech Republic

Dariusz Filip
Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University in Warsaw (UKSW) Woycickiego Str. 1/3 bl. 3 01-938 Warsaw, Poland (d.filip@uksw.edu.pl).

The article aims at verifying the occurrence of performance persistence phenomenon among equity funds in the Czech Republic. The study uses the most popular measures of return mentioned in financial academic publications. Moreover, a relatively long time horizon, lasting from the beginning of 2000 to the end of 2010 was taken into consideration. The non-parametric methods utilized in the study were traditional contingency tables combined with a new approach discussed in the literature on the subject and related to the estimation of stochastic kernel. The obtained results have revealed the existence of weak and limited performance persistence within the total time horizon and in several sub-periods. The significance of the phenomenon depended on the applied measure of return. Furthermore, performance dependence in successive periods was related to the market situation. In general, the character of the occurrence of performance persistence may be connected with the size and the level of development of the Czech investment fund industry.

Keywords: investment funds, performance persistence, CEE markets
JEL classification: G11, G23, G29

Published: January 1, 2013  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Filip, D. (2013). Returns and Persistence of Investment Fund Performance in the Czech Republic. Prague Economic Papers22(3), 324-342. doi: 10.18267/j.pep.455
Download citation

References

  1. Bers, M. K. (1998), "Causal Relations Among Stock Returns, Inflation: Persistence of International Mutual Fund Performance." Global Finance Journal, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 225-240. Go to original source...
  2. Brown, S. J., Goetzmann, W. N. (1995), "Performance Persistence." The Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 2, pp. 679-698. Go to original source...
  3. Carhart, M. (1997), "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance." The Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, No. 1, pp. 57-82. Go to original source...
  4. Christensen, M. (2005), "Danish Mutual Fund Performance. Selectivity, Market Timing and Persistence." Aarhus School of Business, Finance Research Group Working Paper No. F-2005-1. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=670701. Go to original source...
  5. Christensen, R. (1990), Log-Linear Models. New York: Springer-Verlag. Go to original source...
  6. De Jorge, J. (2006), "Regional Regulation Analysis of Performance in Spanish Retailing." International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 34, No. 10, pp. 773-793. Go to original source...
  7. Detzel, F. L., Weigand, R. A. (1998), "Explaining Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance." Financial Services Review, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 45-55. Go to original source...
  8. EFAMA (2011), "Trends in the European Investment Fund Industry in the Fourth Quarter of 2010 and Results for the Full Year 2010." Quarterly Statistical Release, February, No. 44: European Fund and Asset Management Association.
  9. Fama, E. F., French, K. R. (1993), "Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds." Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 3-56. Go to original source...
  10. Ferson, W., Schadt, R. (1996), "Measuring Fund Strategy and Performance in Changing Economic Conditions." Journal of Finance, Vol. 51, No. 2, pp. 425-462. Go to original source...
  11. Fienberg, S. E. (1980), The Analysis of Cross-classified Categorical Data. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press.
  12. Filip, D. (2011), "The Analysis of Czech Investment Funds Performance." Ekonomické listy, No. 9, pp. 22-39. Go to original source...
  13. Gallo, J. G., Lockwood, L. J., Swanson, P. E. (1997), "The Performance of International Bond Funds." International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 17-35. Go to original source...
  14. Hallahan, T. A. (1999), "The Information Content of Portfolio Performance History and Persistence in Fund Performance: An Examination of Rollover Funds." Accounting and Finance, Vol. 39, No. 3, pp. 255-274. Go to original source...
  15. Henriksson, R. D., Merton, R. C. (1981), "On Market Timing and Investment Performance. II. Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills." The Journal of Business, Vol. 54, No. 4, pp. 513-533. Go to original source...
  16. Hyndman, R. J., Bashtannyk, D. M., Grunwald, G. K. (1996), "Estimating and Visualizating Conditional Densities." Journal of Computational & Graphical Statistics, Vol. 5, No. 4, pp. 315-336. Go to original source...
  17. Jackowicz, K., Kowalewski, O., Kozłowski, Ł. (2011), "The Short and Long Term Performance Persistence in the Central European Banking Industry." Contemporary Economics, Vol. 5, No. 4, pp. 2-14. Go to original source...
  18. Jackowicz, K., Kozłowski, Ł. (2008), "Analiza dynamiki rozkładów rentowności banków komercyjnych w Polsce z użyciem jądra stochastycznego [Dynamics of profitability distribution: an analysis of commercial banks in Poland with the application of stochastic kernel]." In: Dziawgo, L., ed., Współczesne finanse. Stan i perspektywy rozwoju bankowości. Toruń: Wydawnictwo Naukowe UMK, pp. 325-334.
  19. Jensen, M. (1968), "The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-1964." Journal of Finance, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 389-416. Go to original source...
  20. Jindrichovska, I. (2009), "Open-Ending Czech Closed-End Funds: Evidence from Transitional Market." Academy of Taiwan Business Management Review, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 94-111.
  21. Kahn, R., Rudd, A. (1995), "Does Historical Performance Predict Future Performance?" Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 51, No. 6 November/December, pp. 43-52. Go to original source...
  22. Lillard, L. A., Willis, R. J. (1978), "Dynamic Aspects of Earning Mobility." Econometrica, Vol. 46, No. 5, pp. 985-1012. Go to original source...
  23. Lintner, J. (1965), "The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets." The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 47, No. 1, pp. 13-37. Go to original source...
  24. Madura, J., Bers, M. K. (2002), "The Performance Persistence of Foreign Closed-End Funds." Review of Financial Economics, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 263-285. Go to original source...
  25. Otten, R., Bams, D. (2002), "European Mutual Fund Performance." European Financial Management, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 75-101. Go to original source...
  26. Quah, D. (1997), "Empirics for Growth and Distribution; Stratification, Polarization and Convergence Clubs." Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 27-59. Go to original source...
  27. Rosenblatt, M. (1969), "Conditional Probability Density and Regression Estimators." In: Krishnaiah, P.R., ed., Multivariate Analysis II. New York: Academic Press, pp. 25-31.
  28. Scott, D. W. (1992), Multivariate Density Estimation. Theory, Practice, and Visualization. New York, Chichester, Brisbane, Toronto, Singapore: A Wiley-Interscience Publication, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
  29. Sharpe, W. F. (1964), "Capital Asset Prices - A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk." Journal of Finance, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 425-442. Go to original source...
  30. Sharpe, W. F. (1966), "Mutual Funds Performance." Journal of Business, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 119-138. Go to original source...
  31. Treynor, J. L. (1965), "How to Rate Management of Investment Funds.' Harvard Business Review, Vol. 43, No. 1, pp. 63-75.
  32. Treynor, J., Mazuy, K. (1966), "Can Mutual Fund Outguess the Market?" Harvard Business Review, Vol. 44, No. 4, pp. 131-136.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.