Prague Economic Papers 2013, 22(3):343-357 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.456

Propensity to Migration in the CEEC: Comparison of Migration Potential in the Czech Republic and Poland

Karolina Kowalska1, Wadim Strielkowski2
1 Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, Długa 44/50, 00-241 Warsaw, Poland (karolinakowalska@wne.uw.edu.pl).
2 Charles University in Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies. Opletalova 26, 11000 Praha 1, Prague, Czech Republic and Global Change Research Centre AS CR, v.v.i,; Bělidla 4a, Brno 60300, Czech Republic (strielkowski@fsv.cuni.cz).

Together with mainly economic factors influencing the migration decisions, there is also a migration potential which is unique for every country and that largely pre-determines the outgoing migrations or labour mobility decisions. This paper compares the migration potential and migration decisions for the Czech Republic and Poland using the data for inter-regional and rural-urban migrations. These data that can be used as a proxy for migration potential, are very useful in predicting the propensity to international migration.

We come to conclusions that migration potential and the propensity to migrate as a reaction to worsening of the economic conditions at home are highly correlated. The comparative analysis shows that while Poles are quite sensitive to worsening economic conditions at home, Czechs posses lower value of migration potential and therefore are not so inclined to migrations. The results might explain the high volume of migration from Poland after the EU 2004 enlargement.

Keywords: Czech Republic, Poland, labour mobility, economics of migration, migration potential, propensity to migration
JEL classification: F02, F22, J61

Published: January 1, 2013  Show citation

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Kowalska, K., & Strielkowski, W. (2013). Propensity to Migration in the CEEC: Comparison of Migration Potential in the Czech Republic and Poland. Prague Economic Papers, 22(3), 343-357. doi: 10.18267/j.pep.456
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