Prague Economic Papers 2016, 25(5):617-633 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.578

Why Are Savings Accounts Perceived as Risky Bank Products?

Hana Dľmuráňová1, Petr Teplý2
1 Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic (hanadzmuranova@gmail.com).
2 Department of Banking and Insurance, Faculty of Finance and Accounting, University of Economics in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic (petr.teply@vse.cz).

Risk management for banking products can be challenging in general, but is even more risky in a global, low interest rate environment. This paper deals with the risk management of savings accounts, a bank product defined as a non-maturing account with embedded option that bears a relatively attractive rate of return. We focus on the interest rate risk of savings accounts. By constructing the replicating portfolio and simulating market rates and client rates, we show that under the severest scenario, some banks in the Czech Republic might face a significant capital shortage in next two years if market rates start to increase dramatically from recent low levels. We conclude that savings accounts are riskier liabilities than current accounts and term deposits for banks. Moreover, we propose imposing stricter regulation and supervision on these bank products since they might increase systemic risk of the Czech banking sector in coming years.

Keywords: simulations, savings accounts, risk management, replicating portfolio, interest rate risk, demand deposits, bank
JEL classification: C15, G11, G21

Published: January 1, 2016  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Dľmuráňová, H., & Teplý, P. (2016). Why Are Savings Accounts Perceived as Risky Bank Products? Prague Economic Papers25(5), 617-633. doi: 10.18267/j.pep.578
Download citation

References

  1. Air Bank (2014). Annual Report 2013. Available at: https://www.airbank.cz/cs/vse-o-air-bank/dokumenty/povinne-informace/výroční-zpráva-za-rok2013/Contents/0/9AD469ED11E0847376900334F6B0966A/resource.pdf
  2. BCBS (2011). Basel III: A Global Regulatory Framework for More Resilient Banks and Banking Systems. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel: Bank for International Settlements.
  3. Blochlinger, A. (2010). Interest-Rate Risk of Non-Maturity Bank Accounts: From the Marketing to the Hedging Strategy. Zurcher Kantonalbank.
  4. Bank of England (2013). Financial Stability Report. June 2013. London: Bank of England.
  5. Brigo, D. et al. (2007). A Stochastic Process Toolkit for Risk Management. Available at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1109160
  6. Brigo, D., Mercurio, F. (2006). Interest Rate Models: Theory and Practice - With Smile, Inflation and Credit. New York: Springer Verlag.
  7. CS (2014). Annual Report 2013. Česká spořitelna. Available at: http://cs.cz/static_internet/cs/Obecne_informace/FSCS/CS/Prilohy/vz_2013.pdf
  8. CSOB (2014). Annual Report 2013. Československá obchodní banka. Available at: http://www.csob.cz/WebCsob/Csob/O-CSOB/Vztahy-k-investorům/Výroční-pololetnízprávy/Výroční-zprávy/VZ_CSOB_2013.pdf
  9. Dewachter, H. et al. (2006). A Multi-factor Model for the Valuation and Risk mManagement of Demand Deposits. National Bank of Belgium Working Paper 83. DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.795307. Go to original source...
  10. Dvořák, P. (2005). Banking for Bankers and Clients, 3rd Ed. Prague: Linde.
  11. Dľmuráňová, H., Teplý, P. (2014). Risk Management of Savings Accounts. IES Working Paper 09/2014.
  12. Frauendorfer, K., Schuerle, M. (2006). Dynamic Modeling and Optimization of Non-maturing Accounts. University of St. Gallen, Institute for Operational Research and Computational Finance. Go to original source...
  13. European Banking Authority (2013). Guidelines on Retail Deposits Subject to Different Outflows for Purposes of Liquidity Reporting under Regulation (EU) No. 575/2013, on Prudential Requirements for Credit Institutions and Investment Firms and Amending Regulation (EU) N. 648/2012(Capital Requirements Regulation - CRR). London: European Banking Authority.
  14. International Monetary Fund (2014). Global Financial Stability Report, Old Risks, New Challenges. April 2014. Washington: International Monetary Fund. Go to original source...
  15. Janda, K., Michalikova, E., Skuhrovec, J. (2013). Credit Support for Export: Robust Evidence from the Czech Republic. World Economy, 36(12), pp. 1588-1610. DOI: 10.1111/twec.12061. Go to original source...
  16. Kalkbrener. M., Willing, W. (2004). Risk Management of Non-Maturing Liabilities. Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(7), pp. 1547-1568. DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4266(03)00131-6. Go to original source...
  17. Maes, K., Timmermans, T. (2005). Measuring the Interest Rate Risk of Belgian Regulated Savings Deposits. National Bank of Belgium Financial Stability Review 2005, pp. 137-151.
  18. Mandel, M., Tomąík, V. (2014). Monetary Policy Efficiency in Conditions of Excess Liquidity Withdrawal. Prague Economic Papers, 23(1), pp. 3-23. DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.470. Go to original source...
  19. Mejstřík, M., Pečená, M., Teplý, P. (2014). Banking in Theory and Practice. Prague: Karolinum Press.
  20. O´Brien, J. M. (2000). Estimating the Value and Interest Rate Risk of Interest-Bearing Transactions Deposits. Federal Reserve System Working Paper 00-53. DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.256712. Go to original source...
  21. Paraschiv, F. (2011). Modeling Deposit Rate and Volumes of Non-maturing Savings Accounts. University of St. Gallen Dissertation 3924.
  22. Resti, A. and Sironi, A. (2007). Risk managements and shareholders´ value in banking: From Risk Measurements Models to Capital Allocation policies. West Sussex: John Wiley and Sons Ltd.
  23. Stádník, B., Miecinskiene, A. (2015): Complex Model of Market Price Development and its Simulation. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 16(4), pp. 786-807. Go to original source...
  24. Strnad, P. (2009). Fair Value and Interest Rate Risk of Demand Deposits. Journal of Economics, 57(7), pp. 682-699.
  25. ©útorová, B., Teplý, P. (2013). The Impact of Basel III on Lending Rates of EU Banks. Czech Journal of Finance, 63(3), pp. 226-243.
  26. ©útorová, B., Teplý, P. (2014a). The Level of Capital and the Value of EU Banks under Basel III. Prague Economic Papers, 23(2), pp. 143-161. Go to original source...
  27. ©útorová, B., Teplý, P. (2014b). EU Banks' Profitability and Risk Adjustment Decisions under Basel III. Journal of Economics/Ekonomický časopis, 62(7), pp. 667-692.
  28. Teplý, P. (2014). Cloud Banking. Presentation, Available at: http://ies.fsv.cuni.cz/en/staff/teply.
  29. Tinl, K. (2012). Face to Face: Established Banks vs New Entrants. Interview. Available at: http://byznys.ihned.cz/face-to-face/c1-58963320-bankeri-pred-kamerami-ihned-cznektere-mensi-financni-domy-ceka-v-cesku-zanik.
  30. Tůma, O. (2013). Srovnání spořících účtů: úrokové sazby jdou dolů. Available at: http://www.penize.cz/sporici-ucty/250240-srovnani-sporicich-uctu-urokove-sazby-jdoudolu!#element_62_8643
  31. Vaąíček, O. (1977). An Equilibrium Characterisation of the Term Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 5(2), pp. 177-188. Go to original source...
  32. Witzany, J. (2013). A Note on the Vasicek's Model with the Logistic Distribution. Ekonomický časopis/Journal of Economics, 61(10), pp. 1053-1066.
  33. Zamrazilová, E. (2014). Monetary Policy: Short-Term Stabilization versus Long-Term Risks. Politická ekonomie, 62(2), pp. 12-33. DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.935. Go to original source...

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.